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	<title>Jeff Nabers’s Self Directed IRA &#38; Solo 401k Blog &#187; buffett</title>
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		<title>Microwavable economic epiphany for the lazy or ADD</title>
		<link>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/02/23/microwavable-economic-epiphany-for-the-lazy-or-add/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/02/23/microwavable-economic-epiphany-for-the-lazy-or-add/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Feb 2009 09:53:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Nabers</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve written several times about what I believe is one of the most important films ever produced: I.O.U.S.A. The film is 80 minutes long and came out in August of 2008. It&#8217;s a project of the former Comptroller General of the United States (our government&#8217;s chief accountant). He resigned to make this movie to warn [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve written several times about what I believe is one of the most important films ever produced: <a href="http://www.iousathemovie.com/" target="_blank">I.O.U.S.A</a>. The film is 80 minutes long and came out in <a href="http://movies.yahoo.com/movie/1809963002/info" target="_blank">August of 2008</a>. It&#8217;s a project of the former <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_M._Walker_(U.S._Comptroller_General)" target="_blank">Comptroller General</a> of the United States (our government&#8217;s chief accountant). He resigned to make this movie to warn our country about the coming financial train wreck of the government.</p>
<p>A few months ago, I linked you to a shorter, <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O_TjBNjc9Bo" target="_blank">free 30 minute version</a> available on YouTube. If you haven&#8217;t taken the time to watch the 30 minute or 80 minute version, then here&#8217;s the 2 minute, 24 second version;</p>
<p>[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gGgjU-h_xQw]</p>
<p>^&#8212; The hidden track record of U.S. deficits as told by the U.S. government&#8217;s chief accountant!</p>
<p>[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-FSoXKapKQs]</p>
<p>^&#8211; If you can watch this video and <span id="more-698"></span>not feel the need to do something, then something is wrong with you  :-O</p>
<p>[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dp8ZmQMCtqA]</p>
<p>^&#8211; This outlines the PRE-BAILOUT/<a href="http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2009/02/the_market_is_shorting_obamas.html" target="_blank">STIMULUS</a> unfunded government promises.</p>
<p>[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZlmqx8CNKc]</p>
<p>^&#8211; The forecast of future debt-to-GDP ratios</p>
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		<title>I.O.U.S.A viewing this weekend on CNN</title>
		<link>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/01/09/iousa-viewing-sat-and-sunday-cnn/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/01/09/iousa-viewing-sat-and-sunday-cnn/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Jan 2009 11:47:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Nabers</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[CNN to Broadcast I.O.U.S.A. &#124; Obama Foresees Trillion-Dollar Deficits &#124; A Bipartisan Plea for Fiscal Responsibility &#124; The Government We Deserve CNN to Broadcast I.O.U.S.A. The public has spoken, and we&#8217;ve listened. In response to demand for information about our country&#8217;s financial challenges, CNN/U.S. will air the broadcast premiere of the acclaimed documentary I.O.U.S.A. on [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align:center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-623" title="iousa_slim" src="http://nabersgroup.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/iousa_slim.jpg" alt="iousa_slim" width="415" height="103" /></p>
<p>CNN to Broadcast I.O.U.S.A. | Obama Foresees Trillion-Dollar<br />
Deficits |<br />
A Bipartisan Plea for Fiscal Responsibility | The Government We<br />
Deserve</p>
<h3>CNN to Broadcast I.O.U.S.A.</h3>
<p>The public has spoken, and we&#8217;ve listened. In response to demand<br />
for information about our country&#8217;s financial challenges, CNN/U.S.<br />
will air the broadcast premiere of the acclaimed documentary<br />
I.O.U.S.A. on on Saturday, January 10 at 2:00 p.m. EST and on<br />
Sunday, January 11 at 3:00 p.m. EST. Accompanying the documentary<br />
will be an unscripted panel discussion with policy leaders about<br />
various economic solutions currently under consideration.</p>
<p>This exclusive televised event will air only on CNN, and will be<br />
hosted by Ali Velshi and Christine Romans, co-anchors of CNN&#8217;s<br />
Your $$$$$, the network&#8217;s weekend business roundtable program.<br />
Throughout I.O.U.S.A.&#8217;s broadcast premiere, Velshi and Romans will<br />
engage a distinguished group of panelists, including Pete<br />
Peterson, Chairman of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation and former<br />
U.S. Commerce Secretary; Dave Walker, President and CEO of the<br />
Peter G. Peterson Foundation and former U.S. Comptroller General;<br />
Alice Rivlin, noted economist and former Director of the Office of<br />
Management and Budget; and Bill Bradley, a Managing Director of<br />
Allen &amp; Company and former U.S. Senator and Democratic<br />
presidential candidate, in discussions about issues raised in the<br />
film and their ties to current economic events.</p>
<p>Learn more about the film at <a href="http://www.iousathemovie.com/" target="_blank">www.IOUSAtheMovie.com</a>. And be sure to<br />
spread the word about the U.S. broadcast premiere!</p>
<h3>Obama Foresees Trillion-Dollar Deficits</h3>
<p>CNNMoney.com reported on Tuesday that when President-elect Barack<br />
Obama takes office on January 20, he&#8217;ll inherit an economy deeper<br />
in debt than ever.</p>
<p>Obama commented on the unprecedented deficit, saying,<span id="more-620"></span> &#8220;At the<br />
current course and speed, a trillion-dollar deficit will be here<br />
before we even start the next budget.&#8221; In reference to his planned<br />
economic recovery plan with an $800 billion price tag, Obama<br />
added, &#8220;And potentially we&#8217;ve got trillion-dollar deficits for<br />
years to come, even with the economic recovery that we are working<br />
on at this point.&#8221;</p>
<p>Even with Obama&#8217;s promised budget reform, our economy will still<br />
remain in the red — at least for the next few years. However,<br />
incurring a trillion-dollar deficit in the short-term in order to<br />
stimulate the economy is, according to organizations like the<br />
Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, essential in order to<br />
prevent &#8220;a deep and prolonged recession.&#8221;</p>
<p>Dave Walker, president and CEO of the Peter G. Peterson<br />
Foundation, was also asked to comment on the deficit and Obama&#8217;s<br />
proposed stimulus. A &#8220;timely, targeted and temporary&#8221; stimulus is,<br />
according to Dave, the best way to shore up the economy while our<br />
deficit continues to deepen.</p>
<p>To read the original article, visit CNNMoney.com.</p>
<h3>A Bipartisan Plea for Fiscal Responsibility</h3>
<p>On Monday, January 5, the two most prominent members of the Senate<br />
Budget Committee – Sen. Kent Conrad (D-ND) and Sen. Judd Gregg<br />
(R-NH) spoke out about the need for fiscal responsibility,<br />
especially in the face of our current economic crisis.</p>
<p>In an impassioned editorial for the Washington Post, Conrad and<br />
Gregg called for Democrats and Republicans to unite in support for<br />
an economic recovery package, even with the short-term addition it<br />
will make to our larger deficit. The senators also called for a<br />
&#8220;bipartisan fiscal task force&#8221; to help create concrete solutions<br />
for America&#8217;s long-term fiscal woes.</p>
<p>To read the full text of the editorial, visit the Washington<br />
Post.</p>
<p>The Government We Deserve by Gene Steuerle</p>
<h3>&#8220;Investment&#8221; and Obama&#8217;s First Budget</h3>
<p>President-elect Obama’s chief in-house economic advisor Larry<br />
Summers suggests in a recent Washington Post piece that the new<br />
Administration will put a lot of effort into addressing long-term<br />
growth challenges, not just short-term policies that generate<br />
consumer spending. How? Through &#8220;investments.&#8221; To make sure we get<br />
the point, Summers uses that word or some variation 12 times.</p>
<p>But the first Obama budget will not be oriented toward investment.<br />
Just as with recent administrations, the words will stress<br />
&#8220;investment&#8221; but the numbers will emphasize &#8220;consumption&#8221; &#8211; not<br />
only in the short-term but, more dangerously, in the long-term. In<br />
fairness, this is the budget the new administration inherits. They<br />
gain control of the wheel of a battleship sailing full-steam ahead<br />
toward the icebergs. But by using terms like &#8220;down payment&#8221; to<br />
describe new proposals, Summers hints that no major course<br />
correction will be sought.</p>
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		<title>Stock Market Profits: Luck, Insider Trading, Arbitrage, Big Fish, and Geniuses</title>
		<link>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2008/06/05/stock-market-profits-luck-insider-trading-arbitrage-big-fish-and-geniuses/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2008/06/05/stock-market-profits-luck-insider-trading-arbitrage-big-fish-and-geniuses/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jun 2008 12:59:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Nabers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Self Directed IRA Solo 401k]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[401k]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[arb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[arbitrage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[big fish]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buffett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[genius]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[insider trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[invest]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ira]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[luck]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lucky]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mutual fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mutual funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[self directed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[speculate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[speculative]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[warrenn]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nabersgroup.wordpress.com/?p=66</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Luck&#8230; Doing very well in publicly traded securities is sometimes a streak of good luck. I&#8217;ve had a terrific run on the craps table in Vegas many times. Eventually, I run out of good luck. Many people experience the same thing with trading. Insider Trading&#8230; This is when a person has non-public information on which [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" style="float:left;margin:4px 11px;" src="http://www.nabersgroup.com/docs/regulus/casino_img.jpg" alt="" width="143" height="75" /><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Luck</span>&#8230; Doing very well in publicly traded securities is sometimes a streak of good luck. I&#8217;ve had a terrific run on the craps table in Vegas many times. Eventually, I run out of good luck. Many people experience the same thing with trading.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify;"><img class="alignright" style="float:right;margin:4px 11px;" src="http://www.nabersgroup.com/docs/regulus/handcuff_suit.jpg" alt="" width="83" height="83" /><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Insider Trading</span>&#8230; This is when a person has non-public information on which he bases a trade in a public securities market. It is illegal. Insider trading in public securities can lead to imprisonment. Insider trading in real estate and private investments can lead to extraordinary profits.</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Arbitrage</span>&#8230; This is the act of profiting from the mispricing of assets. When an ounce of gold costs $900 in New York and $895 in Japan, &#8220;arb&#8221; traders will buy lots of gold in Japan and immediately sell it in New York&#8230; theoretically risk free. When dealing with transaction costs, arb trading typically requires <span id="more-66"></span>very large amounts of money to be carried out feasibly. For the Joe who has $150,000 in an IRA, arb trading probably isn&#8217;t feasible.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft" style="float:left;margin:4px 11px;" src="http://www.nabersgroup.com/docs/regulus/buffett_cartoon.jpg" alt="" width="114" height="122" /><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Big Fish</span>&#8230; Investing in the stock market is a different story when you can afford to buy HUGE pieces of companies. Warren Buffett, often called the <em>World&#8217;s Greatest Investor</em>, invests on such a large scale that he <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/05/news/companies/buffet.pm.wrap/index.htm" target="_blank">recently commented</a> that the Korean stock market is a great buy, but he won&#8217;t be investing in it&#8230; because <em>most Korean stocks aren&#8217;t large enough to have a significant impact on his portfolio!</em> You can&#8217;t follow Warren&#8217;s strategy because he reads all day in order to make trades in the several hundred million dollar range. What he does won&#8217;t exactly work when making $10,000 trades.</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Geniuses</span>&#8230; This may be you; it&#8217;s not me.</p>
<p><strong>What I&#8217;m <em>not</em> saying</strong></p>
<p>I don&#8217;t avoid the stock market like the plague. I do generally avoid mutual funds like the plague because it is surrendering &#8211; you don&#8217;t know where your money went. Picking stocks for your portfolio can make sense when you are honest with yourself in that it is speculative and high risk in nature. Accordingly, it should only be done with a small portion of an overall portfolio. What do you do with rest of your portfolio?</p>
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