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	<title>Jeff Nabers’s Self Directed IRA &#38; Solo 401k Blog &#187; bail out</title>
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	<description>The No-B.S. Guide to Building Real Wealth in Your Self-Directed IRA or Solo 401k</description>
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		<title>Deciphering the Bank Stress Tests</title>
		<link>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/05/20/deciphering-the-bank-stress-tests/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/05/20/deciphering-the-bank-stress-tests/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 May 2009 11:05:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Nabers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bail out]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bank of america]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[citigroup]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[geithner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leverage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stress test]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[wells fargo]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeffnabers.com/?p=828</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here are a couple highlights for a recent post over at Daily Reckoning regarding the bank stress test results. Banks need about $75 billion to reach &#8220;adequate capitalization&#8221; &#8220;Adequate capitalization&#8221; is when common equity equals 4% Common equity being at 4% means a debt-to-equity ratio of 25-to-1 The current bank needs do not factor in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here are a couple highlights for a recent post over at <a rel="nofollow" href="http://dailyreckoning.com/bank-stress-test-insanity/" target="_blank">Daily Reckoning</a> regarding the bank stress test results.</p>
<ul>
<li>Banks need about $75 billion to reach &#8220;adequate capitalization&#8221;</li>
<li>&#8220;Adequate capitalization&#8221; is when common equity equals 4%</li>
<li>Common equity being at 4% means a debt-to-equity ratio of 25-to-1</li>
<li>The current bank needs do not factor in the potential for bank assets to lose their value</li>
<li>The current bank needs are based on a rosy worst case scenario of <span id="more-828"></span>a 3.3% drop in GDP this year and unemployment of 8.9%</li>
<li>The government&#8217;s latest understated unemployment data is <em>already </em>reporting unemployment at 8.9%, so the government is trying to convince us that the worst case scenario is unemployment stays the same</li>
</ul>
<p>Additionally, here are what some of the larger banks needed according to the stress tests:</p>
<ul>
<li>Citigroup $5.5 billion</li>
<li>Wells Fargo $15 billion</li>
<li>Bank of America $34 billion</li>
</ul>
<p>Keep in mind that these are the amounts of money that must be given to the banks now in order for the banks to <em>get themselves UP to</em> a 25-to-1 leverage ratio. Also, while Citigroup appears to be less incompetent than Wells and B of A, a recent article in Time magazine says that Citi &#8220;got credit for a capital conversion it has yet to complete. Strip that out, and the amount of capital Citi needs balloons to nearly $63 billion, more than any of the other banks tested.”</p>
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		<title>News Flash: World Decides Not To End</title>
		<link>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/02/25/news-flash-world-decides-not-to-end/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/02/25/news-flash-world-decides-not-to-end/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2009 20:49:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Nabers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Precious Metals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bail out]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[stock market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeffnabers.com/?p=727</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I want to get this news flash out to you, but there&#8217;s no sense in reinventing the wheel. I think the first half of Bill Bonner&#8217;s recent blog post sums it up. See it here.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I want to get this news flash out to you, but there&#8217;s no sense in reinventing the wheel. I think the first half of Bill Bonner&#8217;s recent blog post sums it up. <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com/a-pile-up-on-the-worlds-financial-highway/" target="_blank">See it here</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Microwavable economic epiphany for the lazy or ADD</title>
		<link>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/02/23/microwavable-economic-epiphany-for-the-lazy-or-add/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/02/23/microwavable-economic-epiphany-for-the-lazy-or-add/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Feb 2009 09:53:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Nabers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Money]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[alan]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[obama]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeffnabers.com/?p=698</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve written several times about what I believe is one of the most important films ever produced: I.O.U.S.A. The film is 80 minutes long and came out in August of 2008. It&#8217;s a project of the former Comptroller General of the United States (our government&#8217;s chief accountant). He resigned to make this movie to warn [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve written several times about what I believe is one of the most important films ever produced: <a href="http://www.iousathemovie.com/" target="_blank">I.O.U.S.A</a>. The film is 80 minutes long and came out in <a href="http://movies.yahoo.com/movie/1809963002/info" target="_blank">August of 2008</a>. It&#8217;s a project of the former <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_M._Walker_(U.S._Comptroller_General)" target="_blank">Comptroller General</a> of the United States (our government&#8217;s chief accountant). He resigned to make this movie to warn our country about the coming financial train wreck of the government.</p>
<p>A few months ago, I linked you to a shorter, <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O_TjBNjc9Bo" target="_blank">free 30 minute version</a> available on YouTube. If you haven&#8217;t taken the time to watch the 30 minute or 80 minute version, then here&#8217;s the 2 minute, 24 second version;</p>
<p>[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gGgjU-h_xQw]</p>
<p>^&#8212; The hidden track record of U.S. deficits as told by the U.S. government&#8217;s chief accountant!</p>
<p>[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-FSoXKapKQs]</p>
<p>^&#8211; If you can watch this video and <span id="more-698"></span>not feel the need to do something, then something is wrong with you  :-O</p>
<p>[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dp8ZmQMCtqA]</p>
<p>^&#8211; This outlines the PRE-BAILOUT/<a href="http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2009/02/the_market_is_shorting_obamas.html" target="_blank">STIMULUS</a> unfunded government promises.</p>
<p>[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZlmqx8CNKc]</p>
<p>^&#8211; The forecast of future debt-to-GDP ratios</p>
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		<title>Could Obama&#039;s Stimulus Really Work?</title>
		<link>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/02/20/could-obamas-stimulus-really-work/</link>
		<comments>http://www.jeffnabers.com/2009/02/20/could-obamas-stimulus-really-work/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2009 12:11:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Nabers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeffnabers.com/?p=687</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Our economy is 70% consumerism. That means it is mostly based on individuals buying stuff. So the current setup of our economy holds two basic facts: Individuals buying more stuff than they can afford to buy (based on their income) has a net effect that is good for the economy. When individuals lower their spending [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align:center;"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-688" title="spend_addict" src="http://nabersgroup.files.wordpress.com/2009/02/spend_addict.jpg?w=298" alt="spend_addict" width="298" height="300" /></p>
<p>Our economy is 70% consumerism. That means it is mostly based on individuals buying stuff. So the current setup of our economy holds two basic facts:</p>
<ol>
<li>Individuals buying more stuff than they can afford to buy (based on their income) has a net effect that is good for the economy.</li>
<li>When individuals lower their spending and save and invest money, the net effect is bad for the U.S. economy.</li>
</ol>
<p>That said, should we even care about &#8220;the economy&#8221; in its current setup? If individuals were really doing what is good for themselves (saving and investing), it would be terrible for the economy.</p>
<p>So could Obama&#8217;s stimulus really work? Absolutely not. Not if you consider &#8220;it really working&#8221; to mean more than just temporarily. We don&#8217;t need a stimulus. We don&#8217;t need a boosted economy. We need a <em>changed</em> economy. There are only three ways out of <span id="more-687"></span>this mess.</p>
<ol>
<li>The financial and economic system of the U.S. (and much of the world) is not repaired and we enter a very long, long, long depression that includes unprecented levels of poverty in the U.S.</li>
<li>The U.S. merges with one or more countries. In the same way Merrill Lynch had to be bought by Bank of America&#8230; the United States might have to be bought by one or more financially sound countries.</li>
<li><strong>We redefine the rules of our economy to be healthy and sustainable. Rather than require individual consumers to jump on the grenade of &#8220;just spend, spend, spend for our country&#8217;s sake&#8221;, we completely rethink our economy to measure its health in a way that it is parallel to the financial health of the individuals who live here.</strong></li>
</ol>
<p>It all starts with the individual. And for the individual, it all starts with the basics of financial statements: the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_sheet" target="_blank">balance sheet</a> and the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_statement" target="_blank">income statement</a>. Individuals&#8217;  income statements need to be in the positive. If we can figure out a way to measure &#8220;the economy&#8221; in a way that would celebrate individual financial health, that would be great. If we can&#8217;t, then we should be building and spreading individual financial health anyway, despite its terrible effects on &#8220;the economy&#8221;.</p>
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