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The Fragility of a Consumer Economy

fragile

When an economy is based on healthy, sustainable activity with a balance of production and consumption, the type of depression we are in can’t happen. In our consumption-based economy, on the other hand, nothing can “stimulate” things back on track. This is because the track we were on is unsustainable. There’s no going back on it. American consumers can’t spend & consume more today in an effort to “save” the economy because we already spent and consumed the goods of today.

Despite the “green shoots” talk that all the economists and politicians are spreading on TV and in magazines and newspapers (pay no mind that these are the very people who didn’t see the crash coming–we are expected to now value their opinion about what’s going to happen next), what’s next isn’t good for the general economy. As illustrated by Ian Mathis of at Daily Reckoning, by the end of the year about 1.5 million jobless Americans will exhaust their unemployment benefits.

We know that unemployment is sky high right now (10% official figures and 20% as figured by shadowstats.com), but millions of those jobless Americans are receiving checks from the government that are continuing to pay for their rent, groceries, Venti 7 Pump White Mochas, etc. By year’s end, about 1.5 million Americans will no longer have a source of income. In other words, the further reduced consumption affiliated with unemployment hasn’t even come home to roost yet.

Waiting for the “general economy” to be brought back to life will turn out to be a disappointing plan. Your personal economy is what matters, and thriving is a matter of what you make for yourself. Just as the Soviet Union taught us that central planning doesn’t work, we will relearn that lesson as central planning continues to fail in the United States. Don’t wait around for stock markets to go into a long term rebound (as opposed to the bear market rally or “bounce back” that comes before the next leg down in every stock market crash) or for the government to get your job back for you. If anyone’s going to bring your prosperity, it’s going to be you!

How to Cope with Your New $50k in Forced Debt This Year

There are about 100 million non-government, non-taxpayer-paid workers in the U.S.

$3 trillion normal government spending + $2 trillion additional emergency spending = $5 trillion government spending in 2009.

That amounts to $50,000 of government spending per non-government, non-taxpayer-paid U.S. worker in a single year.

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Microwavable economic epiphany for the lazy or ADD

I’ve written several times about what I believe is one of the most important films ever produced: I.O.U.S.A. The film is 80 minutes long and came out in August of 2008. It’s a project of the former Comptroller General of the United States (our government’s chief accountant). He resigned to make this movie to warn our country about the coming financial train wreck of the government.

A few months ago, I linked you to a shorter, free 30 minute version available on YouTube. If you haven’t taken the time to watch the 30 minute or 80 minute version, then here’s the 2 minute, 24 second version;

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gGgjU-h_xQw]

^— The hidden track record of U.S. deficits as told by the U.S. government’s chief accountant!

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-FSoXKapKQs]

^– If you can watch this video and [Read more...]

Could Obama's Stimulus Really Work?

spend_addict

Our economy is 70% consumerism. That means it is mostly based on individuals buying stuff. So the current setup of our economy holds two basic facts:

  1. Individuals buying more stuff than they can afford to buy (based on their income) has a net effect that is good for the economy.
  2. When individuals lower their spending and save and invest money, the net effect is bad for the U.S. economy.

That said, should we even care about “the economy” in its current setup? If individuals were really doing what is good for themselves (saving and investing), it would be terrible for the economy.

So could Obama’s stimulus really work? Absolutely not. Not if you consider “it really working” to mean more than just temporarily. We don’t need a stimulus. We don’t need a boosted economy. We need a changed economy. There are only three ways out of [Read more...]

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